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Call to scrap outdated and unaffordable triple lock

Tony Blair Institute Urges End to ‘Outdated and Unaffordable’ Triple Lock

Revolutionizing State Pensions: Why the Triple Lock Must Go

The **pensions triple lock**, a long-standing guarantee that boosts the state pension each April by the highest of three measures—annual earnings growth, Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation, or a fixed 2.5%—faces a bold challenge. The **Tony Blair Institute (TBI)** has called for its immediate abolition, branding the policy as “outdated, increasingly unaffordable, and too rigid” for today’s workforce and retirement realities.

Call to scrap 'outdated and unaffordable' triple lock
Call to scrap ‘outdated and unaffordable’ triple lock

Why the Triple Lock No Longer Fits Modern Britain

Established to protect pensioners’ income, the triple lock has ensured state pensions rise faster than earnings during many years. However, the TBI warns this approach now threatens economic sustainability as the pensioner population surges—from 12.6 million today to nearly 19 million by 2070—placing escalating strain on public finances.

The Tony Blair Institue has labelled the current system 'outdated'. Pic: AP
The Tony Blair Institue has labelled the current system ‘outdated’. Pic: AP

A New Vision: The Lifespan Fund

Instead of a fixed annual increase, the TBI proposes a transformative “lifespan fund.” This innovative model would allow individuals to accumulate pension entitlements not only through work but also via caring responsibilities and education. Contributions to this fund would guarantee up to 20 years of state-backed support at current pension levels.

This flexible system empowers people to access some of their pension entitlements during critical life stages—such as unemployment, retraining, or caregiving—while still working. Upon returning to work, contributors would repay drawn benefits through higher National Insurance payments, ensuring a self-sustaining cycle of support.

Economic Realities Demand Bold Leadership

**Tom Smith**, TBI’s director of economic policy, emphasizes the urgency: “We can’t keep pouring money into a system that is increasingly unaffordable.” He urges political leaders to demonstrate courage and foresight in addressing pension reform.

Despite the call for change, key political figures including **Sir Keir Starmer**, **Kemi Badenoch**, and **Nigel Farage** have pledged to maintain the triple lock—Farage even proposing welfare cuts to preserve it.

Opposing Views and Government Response

**Caroline Abrahams**, charity director at Age UK, advocates retaining the triple lock into the next parliament, highlighting its vital role in supporting the poorest pensioners. She calls for a national conversation on the state pension’s purpose and adequacy, noting it currently falls short of providing a decent standard of living for many retirees.

A spokesperson from the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) reaffirmed the government’s commitment: “Supporting pensioners is a priority, and our commitment to the triple lock for the rest of this parliament means millions of pensioners will see their yearly state pension rise by up to £2,100.” The department also confirmed ongoing work by the pensions commission to secure retirement security for future generations.

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